In our July "how can we help you?" thread, a reader writes:
My department discourages students from professionalizing too early–but they are vague on when professionalization should start ramping up. They actively discourage us from publishing (and they encourage us to get the dissertation finished first). (I think they're trying to counter people who get distracted by publishing and then let the dissertation collect dust.) So, is this normal? What IS the best publishing advice for a graduate student, when should we start publishing?
'Current grad & incoming prof' then responded:
Particularly if research is your goal, you should start publishing as soon as possible. Once you have a couple chapters, the dissertation can be hastily wrapped up at any point you get a job; but publications are what help you to get the job in the first place. Jason Brennan gives the good advice of always having 3 things under review (which I haven't ever been able to maintain, but may be a good motivator). The dissertation should always be thought of in terms of material for potential future publications, never as an obstacle to publication. Or at least this is how I went about things and what helped me.
The original reader then responded:
This is one of those things that becomes SO OBVIOUS once somebody points it out, thank you! It's going in my "tips and tricks" file 🙂 It fits with thinking of research projects along a pipeline: try to move different projects along so that there's always three at the review point in the research pipeline.
Although I think Brennan's advice here is fairly good, I also think there are other nuances to be aware of here. Let me explain.
The first thing to be aware of here is that Brennan received his PhD thirteen years ago, during a time when there was less pressure to publish in grad school and before the 2007-8 financial crisis, when the job-market became vastly more competitive. The second thing to be aware of is that Brennan came out of a top-15 graduate program (Arizona), and now has a tenured position at an elite university. Why do these things matter? The answer, I think, is that one's publishing strategy in grad school should probably depend a lot on context.
First, it is unclear to me whether 'publish as soon as possible' is the best advice for grad students coming out of top-ranked programs. When I was in grad school (at the same time and in the same program as Brennan), the standard advice was exactly the advice that the original commenter here reports in their program: don't publish at all in grad school. The rationale here was that other top programs are looking to hire "future stars", and that if you are in a top-ranked grad program, then unless you publish in Mind or Phil Review, publishing in lower-ranked journals may make you look less like a future star than having no publications at all but a great dissertation and great recommendation letters from influential people. I don't know how much things have changed, but for what it is worth when I collected some informal data 8 years ago, the data broadly supported this view: a significant number of grad students who received jobs out of top programs indeed had no publications. Have things changed since then? I'd be very interested to hear!
Second, suppose you're not coming out of a top-ranked program or don't have "future star" word of mouth circulating about you. What publishing strategy is best then? Well, in these cases you may not be in line for a job at a research school. Instead, your best shot may be a job at a teaching-focused institution. But in that case you may need a very different job-market strategy. Here, my experience is unequivocal, both as a job-candidate and as a search committee member at such an institution. Search committees at teaching institutions do not appear to prefer candidates with a few publications in top journals (such as Mind or Phil Review). If you look at the faculty rosters at these kinds of places, you won't tend to find people who publish in these kinds of journals. Instead, my experience is that when it comes to jobs at teaching institutions, the number of publications you have may matter most. Indeed, I have four lines of converging evidence for this:
- The informal data I linked to above indicated that if you want a job at teaching-focused institutions, you don't need top-20 publications–and non-top-20 publications appear to help you.
- When I was a job-candidate, the more publications I got, the more interviews and flyouts I got.
- As a search-committee member, most candidates have a few publications, so merely having a few publications is unlikely to make you stand out in a pile–whereas having a lot of publications is likely to make you stand out.
- Hiring committees at teaching institutions are looking to hire people likely to get tenure, and provided you are also a good teacher, the more publications you have the more of a 'lock' you are to get tenure.
If this line of argument is right–if the best strategy for getting a job at a teaching-focused institution is to be a good teacher and publish as much as possible (not necessarily in top-ranked journals)–what is the best publishing strategy to have? Here, Brennan's advice ("Always aim to have 3 articles under review") seems decent but perhaps understated. To see how, consider how this advice is likely to work in practice. Journals routinely take 3-6+ months to render a verdict. The vast majority of the time (90+% at high-ranked journals), your article is likely to be rejected–and in the cases where you receive a favorable verdict, the vast majority of time it will not be an acceptance but instead a revise-and-resubmit, where you have to spend weeks or months revising the paper before putting it under review again (and waiting another 3+ months for a verdict). Further, in my experience, the probability that an R&R is eventually accepted is around something like 60%. So, roughly 40% of the time when your paper isn't rejected outright, your paper will spend the better part of a year or more at a journal only for it to be rejected and you have to submit it to a new journal.
What does this mean? I think it means that if you want to publish a lot as a grad student (to become as competitive as possible for jobs at teaching institutions), the best strategy may be to have more than 3 articles under review at any given time. How many articles? Well, as I shared many years ago, when I was in my very first job after graduate school and was having trouble publishing, I approached two early-career scholars who had graduated from my program who had been highly successful (and who are now both tenured at top research institutions). When I asked them what 'their secret' was (independently, mind you, as neither of them knew I talked to the other), both of them gave me the same advice: to always have ten (!) articles under review at any given time. Their rationale here was simple:
- Good journals have 90+% rejection rates.
- You need to publish approximately 1 article in a good journal per year to get tenure.
- The average article that is accepted by a journal can take up to a year to work its way through the review process.
- From (1)-(3), the best strategy to ensure that you get 1 good publication per year is to have 10 articles under review at any given time (10% acceptance rate + 1-year-to-acceptance + 10 papers = 1 likely publication per year).
I thought this advice was absurdly impractical when I first heard it. Up to that point in my career, I had never had more than one or two articles under review at any given time, and I had only one minor publication (a 'reply') to my name to boot. However, since my two friends were highly successful, I decided to trust them. I began drafting up a lot of papers, got 10 papers under review…and began publishing a lot, got more interviews each year, and eventually got a permanent job. In other words, my friends' advice–as absurd as it had sounded–actually worked.
Now, I know how some (many) readers are likely to respond to this: what I just described is horrible! It's horrible for grad students and job-candidates, as well as for journals–for if people submit 10 articles to journals at any given time, it will clog up the peer-review system. It's also probably infeasible for most grad students (I never managed any more than 1-2 articles under review as a grad student myself!). For what it is worth, I wholeheartedly agree with these concerns. But this is precisely why I think it's important to discuss these things openly. We do no one any favors, I think–particularly grad students and job-marketeers–by underselling the situation they face. We should give grad students and job-marketeers the best practical advice we can, and if that advice is unpalatable (as I think the above advice is), then the rest of us should take steps to change how things work. How might we do so? I'm not entirely sure. But here's a thought: perhaps we need to change hiring practices and standards for tenure and promotion to not be based on quantity of publications, but instead quality. Perhaps instead of submitting full CVs, for example, candidates could be invited to only submit a CV with their 'top-5 publications.'
But, of course, these are just my thoughts, and they may be wrong. What do you all think? What's the best publishing strategy for graduate students? Does it depend on context (the kind of program the student is in, etc.)? If so, is Brennan's advice to always have 3 articles under review always good advice? Or, as I suggested, are there contexts in which the best advice is to not publish in grad school, or alternatively, have significantly more than 3 articles under review? I'm really curious to hear what people think.
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